Progress, challenge and significance of building a carbon industry system in the context of carbon neutrality strategy

  • ZOU Caineng 1, 2 ,
  • WU Songtao , 1, 3, * ,
  • YANG Zhi 1 ,
  • PAN Songqi 1 ,
  • WANG Guofeng 4 ,
  • JIANG Xiaohua 1, 3 ,
  • GUAN Modi 1 ,
  • YU Cong 1, 3 ,
  • YU Zhichao 1, 3 ,
  • SHEN Yue 1, 5
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  • 1. Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, PetroChina, Beijing 100083, China
  • 2. CNPC Shenzhen New Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518000, China
  • 3. National Energy Tight Oil and Gas R&D Center, Beijing 100083, China
  • 4. PetroChina Qinghai Oilfield Company, Dunhuang 736202, China
  • 5. China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, China

Received date: 2022-10-08

  Revised date: 2022-11-05

  Online published: 2023-02-28

Supported by

National Natural Science Foundation of China(42072187)

PetroChina Science and Technology Major Project(2021ZZ01-05)

PetroChina Science and Technology Major Project(2021DJ18)

Abstract

Carbon dioxide storage and utilization has become an inevitable trend and choice for sustainable development under the background of global climate change and carbon neutrality. Carbon industry which is dominated by CO2 capture, utilization and storage/ CO2 capture and storage (CCUS/CCS) is becoming a new strategic industry under the goal of carbon neutrality. The sustainable development of carbon industry needs to learn from the experiences of global oil and gas industry development. There are three types of “carbon” in the earth system. Black carbon is the CO2 that has not been sequestered or used and remains in the atmosphere for a long time; grey carbon is the CO2 that has been fixed or permanently sequestered in the geological body, and blue carbon is the CO2 that could be converted into products for human use through biological, physical, chemical and other ways. The carbon industry system covers carbon generation, carbon capture, carbon transportation, carbon utilization, carbon sequestration, carbon products, carbon finance, and other businesses. It is a revolutionary industrial field to completely eliminate “black carbon”. The development of carbon industry technical system takes carbon emission reduction, zero carbon, negative carbon and carbon economy as the connotation, and the construction of a low-cost and energy-efficient carbon industry system based on CCUS/CCS are strategic measures to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality and clean energy utilization globally. This will promote the “four 80%s” transformation of China's energy supply, namely, to 2060, the percentage of zero-carbon new energy in the energy consumption will be over 80% and the CO2 emission will be decreased by 80% to ensure the carbon emission reduction of total 80×108 t from the percentage of carbon-based fossil energy in the energy consumption of over 80%, and the percentage of CO2 emission from energy of over 80% in 2021. The carbon industry in China is facing three challenges, large CO2 emissions, high percentage of coal in energy consumption, and poor innovative system. Three strategic measures are proposed accordingly, including: (1) unswervingly develop carbon industrial system and ensure the achievement of carbon neutrality as scheduled by 2060; (2) vigorously develop new energy sources and promote a revolutionary transformation of China’s energy production and consumption structure; (3) accelerate the establishment of scientific and technological innovation system of the whole CO2 industry. It is of great significance for continuously optimization of ecological environment and construction of green earth and ecological earth to develop the carbon industry system, utilize clean energy, and achieve the strategic goal of global carbon neutrality.

Cite this article

ZOU Caineng , WU Songtao , YANG Zhi , PAN Songqi , WANG Guofeng , JIANG Xiaohua , GUAN Modi , YU Cong , YU Zhichao , SHEN Yue . Progress, challenge and significance of building a carbon industry system in the context of carbon neutrality strategy[J]. Petroleum Exploration and Development, 2023 , 50(1) : 210 -228 . DOI: 10.1016/S1876-3804(22)60382-3

Introduction

The excessive emission of greenhouse gases represented by CO2 has led to a continuous increase in global average temperature [1-6]. Global warming has triggered a series of extreme high temperature climate events such as glacial ablation, sea level rise, seawater acidification and ecosystem destruction, which are having a significant impact on the natural ecological environment and posing a major threat to human economic and social development. The global average temperature in 2020 was about 15 °C, which is 1.2 °C higher than the temperature of pre-industrialization (average value of 1850-1900) [7]; the annual average surface temperature in China increased by 0.26 °C per decade from 1951 to 2020, which is significantly higher than the global average increase of 0.15 °C per decade in the same period [8-10]. The United Nations Climate Change Conference (UNCCC) in 2021 has taken “controlling global temperature rise by 1.5 °C by the end of this century” as one of the goals to ensure the sustainable survival of human beings on the earth, and has made all-round efforts to promote the development of low-carbon and carbon-free fossil energy systems [11]. On September 22nd, 2020, China announced to the world at the General Debate of the UN General Assembly that it will increase its intended nationally determined contribution and adopt stronger policies and measures, so as to strive to peak CO2 emissions before 2030, and work towards carbon neutrality before 2060 [12].
In nature, carbon exists in the Earth's lithosphere, biosphere, oceansphere and atmosphere in the forms of CO2, organic matter and inorganic matter, and carbon cycles occur within and between different spheres. Anthropogenic CO2 emissions mainly originate from the consumption of fossil fuels. With a sharp increase in fossil fuel consumption, carbon from fossil fuels in the lithosphere is released into the atmosphere, leading to increasing concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere, which destroys the carbon balance of the earth system. Reducing CO2 content in the atmosphere is the key to carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. According to the study of International Energy Agency (IEA) [13], global CO2 emissions are expected to decrease by 263×108 t in 2050 through carbon reduction methods such as adjusting energy structure and improving energy efficiency; relying on carbon removal methods such as CCUS technology and forestry carbon sinks, 76×108 t of CO2 emissions can be reduced, thereby achieving global carbon neutrality.
With carbon neutrality as the core, a new round of technological revolution is underway worldwide, and it is a major development trend to build a carbon industry system and reshape the global production and consumption layout of traditional fossil energy and new energy. China's energy structure is different from the global energy structure. China's CO2 emissions in 2021 account for about 28% of the global total, and the carbon emission reduction required to achieve carbon neutrality is much higher than other economies. The world energy statistics from bp show that China's total energy consumption in 2021 was 1.576 5×1020 J, of which coal accounts for 54.7%, oil for 19.4% and natural gas for 8.6% [14]. The proportion of coal in the energy supply is much higher than the global average. Therefore, China faces greater challenges in building a carbon industry system and reshaping the energy landscape. Especially in the context of the current global geopolitical complexity and local conflicts, the extreme importance of energy security has been mentioned again, and countries have raised the importance of energy production and consumption to an unprecedented level and rearranged the layout [15].
The global carbon industry is in its initial stage, and lacks systematic theoretical guidance and technical support. In order to provide theoretical support for the accelerated development of carbon-related industries and the accelerated transformation of energy companies, and to provide scientific basis and reference for the realization of “carbon neutrality”, this paper puts forward the concept of “carbon industry system”, expounds the key technical progress of key links such as capture, utilization, storage and financial market in the CO2 industry chain, analyzes the current situation and development trend of carbon industrialization, discusses the challenges to the development of China's carbon industry, and forecasts the development and future of the carbon industry, in order to provide scientific guidance and technical support for accelerating the realization of global carbon neutrality goals in the future.

1. Definition and connotation of carbon industry system

The carbon industry system is a systemic study on the generation, evolution and extinction of carbon in the earth system from the perspective of global carbon cycle, with the core goal of achieving sustainable development of human society. Its business scope covers carbon generation, carbon capture, carbon transportation, carbon utilization, carbon sequestration, carbon products and carbon finance (Fig. 1). It is one of the key industries and emerging industries for safeguarding a green earth and building a community with a shared future for mankind. Carbon emission peak refers to the maximum annual emission value of CO2 in an economy (region) [7,10]. Carbon peaking refers to the point in time when carbon emissions reach a peak and no longer increase, and the core is a continuous reduction in the growth rate of carbon emissions until negative growth [9]. Carbon neutrality means that the total amount of greenhouse gas emissions produced directly or indirectly within a certain period is fully offset by natural or man-made technical means, achieving a balance between carbon emissions and carbon sequestration to reach “net-zero emissions”, the core of which is a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. Carbon peaking is a quantitative change, and carbon neutrality is a qualitative change. Internationally, climate-neutral and net zero CO2 emissions are defined broadly in line with carbon neutrality.
Fig. 1. Block diagram of the carbon industry system (modified from Ref. [7]).
The connotation of carbon industry system includes 4 aspects: (1) Carbon emission reduction technologies such as clean utilization of fossil energy, clean energy substitution, resource recycling, energy saving and efficiency improvement; (2) Renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, marine and geothermal, and zero-carbon technologies such as hydrogen, intelligent energy, nuclear and controlled nuclear fusion; (3) CO2 capture, utilization, storage and transformation, as well as forestry, ocean, soil carbon sink and other negative-carbon technologies; (4) Carbon tax system, carbon emission trading system, compound carbon emission trading system, carbon economy and carbon industrial policy, carbon financial subsidies, etc. The core goal of the carbon industry system is to achieve carbon neutrality, and the key is to reduce or remove CO2 emissions.
According to the occurrence of CO2 in the earth system, this paper divides the “carbon” in the earth system into three categories, namely black carbon, gray carbon and blue carbon. Black carbon is CO2 that is not sequestered or used and remains in the atmosphere for a long time. Gray carbon is CO2 that is fixed or permanently sealed in a geological body. Blue carbon refers to CO2 that can be converted into products for human use through biological, physical and chemical processes. The proposal of 3 carbon concepts points out the direction for the development of carbon industry system technology, which is, in the carbon industry system, the maximum removal of black carbon impact, the maximum increase of gray carbon scale, and the maximum development of blue carbon economy have become the key to the green and sustainable development of carbon industry system. From black carbon to gray carbon and then to blue carbon, the “turning waste into treasure” and recycling of carbon resources are realized. In particular, the concept of blue carbon not only considers the types of carbon, but also provides a scientific basis for the design of “carbon” cycle path in carbon industry system from the perspective of economy and environmental protection.
The carbon industry system is a systematic, revolutionary and disruptive new industrial system that completely eliminates the impact of black carbon, amplifies the storage of gray carbon, and optimizes the use of blue carbon. The three types of carbon can be transformed into each other in the carbon industry system. Through carbon capture technology, black carbon can be captured and stored in the geological body to form gray carbon, and converted into blue carbon after product formation. After blue carbon is used by human society, it can form free-state black carbon in the atmosphere, and can also be captured and stored to convert into gray carbon. For example, in the earth's carbon cycle system, CO2 mainly comes from energy consumption, agricultural and forestry land, land use and garbage emissions. The emission of black carbon can be effectively controlled by establishing and improving carbon tax system, carbon trading system, compound carbon emission trading system, financial subsidies and other carbon economic and political leverages. By using ecosystem carbon sinks, production of chemical products from CO2, CO2 artificial green conversion, CO2 geological oil displacement, CO2 geological storage and other technologies, the utilization of “gray carbon” and “blue carbon” can be increased, and the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere can be effectively reduced. At the same time, a low-cost, energy-efficient carbon industry system based on CCUS/CCS can transform “black carbon” into “gray carbon” by sequestering it in depleted oil and gas fields and underground brine aquifers with huge underground storage spaces, thus making an important contribution to carbon neutrality. Carbon neutrality can be promoted by effectively improving the carbon consumption capacity of the earth's ecosystem, reducing the proportion of black carbon, increasing the proportion of gray carbon, and especially increasing the proportion of blue carbon, so as to truly achieve systematical carbon balance.
The construction of the carbon industry system is closely related to the leapfrog development from traditional to new energy sources. In 2021, non-fossil energy and fossil energy account for 17.3% and 82.7% of primary energy in China, respectively. It is predicted that by 2060, when China achieves carbon neutrality, annual consumption will be 57.9×108 t of standard coal, with 80.0% of non-fossil energy and 20.0% of fossil energy, including 5.0% of coal, 5.6% of oil and 9.4% of natural gas [16]. From 2021 to 2060, the fossil and non-fossil energy supply pattern will undergo a revolutionary evolution, with annual carbon emissions from carbon-based energy sources decreasing from 105×108 t in 2021 to 20×108 t in 2060, thus achieving a transformation of four “80%”: transforming from the percentage of carbon-containing fossil energy consumption more than 80% and the percentage of energy CO2 emissions more than 80% in 2021 to the percentage of non-carbon new energy more than 80% and the percentage of CO2 emission reduction more than 80% in 2060 (Fig. 2). Therefore, in the carbon industry system, new energy with zero-carbon energy as the core has gone beyond the scope of new resources and energy, and has become the direction of the world's energy transformation, the main force in the construction of energy power, the frontier of energy science and technology innovation and the driving force in the construction of a green earth. With a new mission and new strategic significance, it has a long way to go in the construction of national energy industry.
Fig. 2. Energy demand and structure and carbon emission prediction under aggressive scenario in China (modified from Refs. [14,16]).

2. Carbon capture

Carbon capture technology is to enrich, compress and purify CO2 by chemical absorption, chemical adsorption, membrane separation, physical separation and other methods to obtain high concentration CO2. The chemical adsorption method has the advantages of good selectivity, high absorption efficiency, low energy consumption and low cost. It is the most mature carbon capture technology at present, and it is applied in 90% of decarburization technologies. CO2 accounts for 0.03%-0.04% of the total air volume, so the technical requirements and economic costs of carbon capture directly from the air are high [17-20]. Carbon capture at the emission side is an effective means of reducing carbon emissions and a prerequisite for subsequent carbon conversion and utilization [21].
Carbon capture technologies are divided into three categories: pre-combustion capture, in-combustion capture and post-combustion capture. Pre-combustion capture refers to the separation and capture of CO2 from carbon-containing fuels after steam reforming and the remaining hydrogen-rich fuels are used for combustion energy supply. At present, it is mainly used in integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC). In-combustion capture technologies mainly include oxyfuel combustion technology and chemical chain combustion technology. Oxyfuel combustion technology is similar to the conventional coal-fired power plant technology process, in which high purity O2 is obtained by air oxygen production to replace air for combustion, large-proportion (about 70%) flue gas recirculation is used to regulate the combustion and heat transfer characteristics of the furnace, and flue gas with high CO2 concentration is obtained directly (CO2 volume fraction larger than 80%). Post-combustion capture method is to separate CO2 from the exhaust gas after fuel combustion and then capture and storage CO2, and it mainly includes chemical absorption method, physical absorption method and membrane separation technology.
In recent years, the technology of carbon capture directly from the air has achieved remarkable results. In 2021, Climeworks established the Orca industrial plant in Iceland, which can remove and permanently store approximately 4000 t of CO2 from the air each year [22]. Climeworks adopts modular approach and performs stacking based on carbon capture units to achieve a technological advancement and effectiveness of the units in production, and thereby achieve a breakthrough in carbon capture efficiency. The principle of operation is to draw in ambient air through a fan and pass it through a “highly selective filter material”. When the filter material draws in sufficient CO2, the unit shuts down and the filter is heated to 100 °C, so that the gas can be released and collected. According to the report of the IEA [13], there are 15 plants operating worldwide in 2020 that capture CO2 directly from the air, capturing about 1×104 t of CO2 per year. To achieve the climate targets of the Paris Agreement, the IEA proposes to reach a yearly CO2 capture capacity of 1000×104 t directly from air by 2030 [13].

3. Carbon utilization

3.1. Geological utilization

At room temperature and pressure, CO2 is a colorless and odorless gas with inactive chemical properties. When the pressure is standard atmospheric pressure and the temperature is 0 °C, CO2 has a thermal conductivity of 0.073 J/(m·K) and a density of 1.98 kg/m3, which is about 1.53 times that of air. In view of the dissolution, competitive adsorption, viscosity reduction and conduction properties of CO2 under the formation conditions, various utilizations can be realized in the geological field: (1) CO2 can extract light crude oil in the formation and reduce the oil-water interfacial tension, so it can be used for enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) (Figs. 3 and 4). (2) The leaching solution composed of light crude oil and CO2 can dissolve uranium salt, so it can be used for uranium mining. (3) Thick oil reservoirs and condensate gas reservoirs face mobility problems in the development process, while CO2 has the characteristics of low viscosity and high mobility, which can enhance the exploitation of thick oil and condensate gas reservoirs. (4) As a conduction medium, CO2 has better mobility than water, which is conducive to the protection of water-sensitive reservoirs, so it can be used for the development of dry heat rock. (5) CO2 is more strongly adsorbed in coal and shale reservoirs than CH4, so it can improve the development effect of coalbed methane and shale gas by means of competitive adsorption.
Fig. 3. CO2 enhanced oil recovery model.
Fig. 4. Conventional-unconventional oil and gas accumulation and CO2 EOR patterns (modified from Ref. [23]).

3.2. Chemical utilization

Chemical utilization is to take the means of chemical transformation to generate target products through reaction of CO2 with reducing agents under the action of efficient catalysts, so as to realize the conversion of greenhouse gases into high value-added chemical products and thereby achieve revenue generation and efficiency improvement in the manufacturing industry. From the perspective of chemical reaction, CO2 can be reduced to a variety of carbon-containing organic chemicals. However, different from the scientific issue of “CO2-based chemical synthesis”, the economic value of “CO2 resource utilization” needs to be taken into account comprehensively. For bulk chemical production, CH4 or C2H6O can be produced by means of CO2 hydrogenation, whose industrial applications are already available. Electrocatalysis and visible light catalysis are effective strategies to achieve the conversion of CO2 to CH4, and the key point of such technologies is a highly active and selective catalyst. For example, Rao et al. [24] reported an iron-based molecular-level photocatalyst that can efficiently catalyze the reduction of CO2 to CH4 under room temperature and atmospheric pressure driven by visible light with a total selectivity of 82% and a quantum yield of 0.18%. Lin et al.[25] performed tandem catalysis over non-Cu-based catalysts for the electrochemical reduction of CO2 to methane. This combination effectively electrochemically reduced CO2 to CH4 via cobalt phthalocyanine (CoPc) and zinc-nitrogen-carbon (Zn-N-C) tandem catalysts, and the CH4 generation rate was more than 100 times higher than that of cobalt phthalocyanine or zinc-nitrogen-carbon alone, providing a new strategy for the electrocatalytic reduction of CO2 to hydrocarbons. In the production of fine chemicals, the direction of environment-friendly new energy and new material technology support should be considered comprehensively, and dimethyl carbonate, the main raw material of battery fluid and environmental protection gasoline additive, and vinyl carbonate, polycarbonate and polyurethane carbonate, the main raw material of biodegradable plastics should be taken in priority as the main research objects.

3.3. Bio-utilization

Bio-utilization is based on cutting-edge science and technology, converting CO2 into biofertilizer, biofuel, artificial starch and other products through artificial photosynthesis or biomimetic catalytic technology, so that CO2 can re-enter the ecological cycle system in the way of “returning to the living body” while achieving carbon sequestration. The efficiency of natural photosynthesis is extremely low, and the maximum efficiency of plant photosynthesis is 4.6% to 6.0% [26]. In the face of high CO2 emissions, the research trend is to simulate the mechanism of CO2 photocatalytic redution (PCR) in plant photosynthesis, and explore and break through artificial photosynthesis technology and CO2 photocatalytic reduction to prepare high value-added products [7,27 -29]. Ayuba [27] developed an effective catalyst for the reduction of CO2 to acetic acid and ethylene, namely the S.ovata bacteria. A stand-alone solar system for efficient production of acetic acid was established under simulated light irradiation for over 100 h, and its energy conversion efficiency is equivalent to that of plant photosynthesis, which further demonstrates the feasibility of artificial photosynthesis. A genetic approach was used to reconstitute thermophilic bacteria (alias Pyrococcus furiosus), which can directly convert atmospheric CO2 to 3-hydroxyl propionic acid, so it can be used to produce acrylic resins and other chemicals. The entire conversion process releases the same amount of CO2 as is needed to make it, achieving carbon balance while producing a cleaner fuel that can replace natural gas, coal and oil. In summary, research on bio-utilization opens up a new pathway for “solar-to-chemical” (Eqs. (1)-(5)), which is of practical significance [30-31].
$C{{O}_{2}}+{{e}^{-}}\to C{{O}_{2}}^{-}$
$\text{C}{{\text{O}}_{2}}+2{{\text{H}}^{+}}+\text{2}{{\text{e}}^{-}}\to \text{CO}+{{\text{H}}_{\text{2}}}\text{O}$
$\text{C}{{\text{O}}_{2}}+\text{4}{{\text{H}}^{+}}+\text{4}{{\text{e}}^{-}}\to \text{HCHO}+{{\text{H}}_{\text{2}}}\text{O}$
$\text{C}{{\text{O}}_{2}}+\text{6}{{\text{H}}^{+}}+\text{6}{{\text{e}}^{-}}\to \text{C}{{\text{H}}_{\text{3}}}\text{OH}+{{\text{H}}_{\text{2}}}\text{O}$
$\text{C}{{\text{O}}_{\text{2}}}+\text{8}{{\text{H}}^{\text{+}}}+8{{e}^{-}}\to \text{C}{{\text{H}}_{\text{4}}}\text{+2}{{\text{H}}_{\text{2}}}\text{O}$
At present, microalgae carbon sequestration technology focuses on the conversion of CO2 fixed by microalgae into liquid fuels and chemicals, biofertilizers, food and feed additives. A new pathway for the bio-utilization of CO2 resources is microbial electrosynthesis (MES), which is the process in which microorganisms use electrical energy as a reducing force to reduce CO2, glucose or other organic substrates into high value-added chemicals. In the actual situation that non-stationary electricity cannot yet be effectively integrated into the power grid system, the research and promotion of CO2 reduction by microbial electro-synthesis technology can not only achieve CO2 sequestration, but also store natural energy (wind and light energy) in the form of high value-added chemicals through electrical energy conversion, while realizing the efficient coupled metabolism of microbial cell energy and substance [32]. The biofuel butanediol was successfully synthesized using CO2, light energy and solar power as feedstock with the help of bacterially modified rhodopseudomonas palustris [33]. When electrolytic hydrogen bubbling reaction device was used, the coulombic efficiency was 14 times higher than that of crude oil and the rate of acetic acid production was more than 10 times higher than that of biofilm MES reactor under the same bacterial population and electrode current density conditions, which effectively solved the problem of lower product synthesis rate of microbial electrosynthesis [34-35].

4. Carbon sequestration

CO2 sequestration is the process of long-term isolation of CO2 from the atmosphere by injecting the captured CO2 into the deep geological reservoir through engineering technology. The global CO2 onshore theoretical storage capacity is (6-42)×1012 t,and the subsea theoretical storage capacity is (2-13)×1012 t; the North American geological sequestration potential is (2-21)×1012 t CO2, the European geological sequestration potential is about 0.355×1012 t CO2, and the Chinese geological sequestration potential is about (2.42-4.13)×1012 t CO2 [7]. The storage capacity of deep saline water formation accounts for about 98%, which is the most dominant carbon sequestration method at present. Depleted reservoirs with complete structure and good geological exploration base are the second major way of CO2 storage at present [36-38].

4.1. Sequestration mechanism

CO2 sequestration in deep saline formations and depleted reservoirs includes physical storage and chemical storage. Physical storage includes geological structure storage and residual gas storage, and chemical storage includes dissolution storage and mineralization storage[39-42]. CO2 geological storage is closely related to the CO2 fluid-solid interaction after entering the formation. After entering the rocks, CO2 is in a supercritical state and miscible with formation water and oil and gas to form a multiphase fluid, and exchanges substances with minerals, either dissolving existing minerals or forming new minerals, thus changing the pore structure of the reservoir (Fig. 5), which affects the CO2 sequestration efficiency [42-43].
Fig. 5. Comparison of minerals before and after CO2 water-rock interaction in sandstones of the 7th Member of Triassic Yanchang Formation, Ordos Basin. (a) Well An-186, 2424.1 m, scanning electron microscope (SEM) image before the water-rock interaction, where potassium feldspar developed with cleavages, and triangular siderite developed at edge; (b) Well An-186, 2424.1 m, SEM image after water-rock reaction shows that potassium feldspar particles are dissolved along the cleavage plane, siderite morphology changes with larger particle size; (c) Well An-186, 2424.1 m, QEMSCAN (Quantitative Scanning Electron Microscopy Mineral Analysis) results, black boxes indicate the location of figures a and b; (d) Well An-173, 2295.55 m, SEM images before water-rock interaction, kaolinite-filled intra-grain pores are observed; (e) Well An-173, 2295.55 m, SEM images after water-rock interaction, kaolinite precipitation is observed with large distribution area; (f) Well An-173, 2295.55 m, QEMSCAN results, black boxes indicate the location of photos 5d and 5e.
Ketzer et al. [44] studied CO2 water-rock interactions in saline formations in southern Brazil and confirmed that CO2 could react with rocks to produce calcium carbonate for effective carbon sequestration under subsurface conditions. Mohamed et al. [45] studied sulfate precipitation during CO2 sequestration and suggested that temperature was the main parameter affecting sulfate precipitation and injection rate has no significant effect through comparative studies of temperature and injection rate. Even if the sulfuric acid concentration is low, calcium sulfate precipitation occurs under high salinity conditions; Liu et al. [46] took into account the regional fluid flow while studying CO2 sequestration in the Mt. Simon sandstone formation in the Midwestern U.S., and found a large amount of feldspar dissolution and clay mineral precipitation. Yu et al. [47] studied the water-rock interaction in the displacement process of formation water saturated with CO2 in the southern part of the Songliao Basin, and pointed out the variability of different mineral evolutionary characteristics: Calcite dissolved to the greatest extent, followed by smectite, iron dolomite was the weakest, and authigenic sodium feldspar and microcrystalline quartz did not undergo significant dissolution. Elkhoury et al. [48] studied the dissolution and deformation of minerals in fractured carbonate reservoirs. Dávila et al. [49] studied the problems related to CO2 sequestration in high NaCl and sulfate-rich formation water in Hontomín of Spain, and systematically analyzed the change of Ca2+, S2−, Fe2+ and Si4+ before and after the reaction, pointing out that the dissolution of calcite, the precipitation of gypsum and the dissolution of small amounts of silicate are the main mineralogical changes. Taking the tight sandstone of the 7th Member of Triassic Yanchang Formation in the Ordos Basin as an example, the author systematically analyzed the mineral and physical property changes during CO2 sequestration. It is indicated that that the dissolution intensity of potassium feldspar, sodium feldspar and calcite is the greatest, and the dissolution, migration and precipitation of clay minerals such as chlorite and kaolinite have important effects on the storage performance. As for the carbon fixation minerals, in addition to calcite, dolomite and montmorillonite, the author also found carbon fixation minerals such as rhodochrosite and kaolinite. From the in-situ comparison of field emission scanning electron microscopy before and after the CO2 water-rock interaction, it can be seen that the particle size and morphology of rhodochrosite minerals shows a significant increase after the reaction (Fig. 5a-5c), and the area of kaolinite distribution also shows a significant increase (Fig. 5d-5f). Numerical simulation results of medium- and long-term supercritical CO2 injection into sandstone strata further validate the contribution of kaolinite and rhodochrosite to carbon sequestration (Fig. 6). With the increase of sequestration time from 200 to 1000 years, the distribution area of kaolinite and rhodochrosite in the precipitation zone gradually increases; at the sequestration time of 1000 years, the volume change coefficient (the difference between the instantaneous volume and the initial volume divided by the initial volume) of siderite in the precipitation zone is 0.004 50 (Fig. 6c), the volume change coefficient of kaolinite is 0.002 86 (Fig. 6f), and the distribution range can be as far as up to 600 m from the injection well.
Fig. 6. Spatial and temporal variation of the siderite and kaolinite contents during CO2 sequestration in sandstone of the 7th Member, Triassic Yanchang Formation, Ordos Basin. (a) Variation of siderite content with increasing distance from injection wells, with a 200-year sequestration time; (b) Variation of siderite content with increasing distance from injection wells, with a 500-year sequestration time; (c) Variation of siderite content with increasing distance from injection wells, with a 1000-year sequestration time; (d) Variation of kaolinite content with increasing distance from injection wells, with a 200-year sequestration time; ( e) Variation in the content of kaolinite with increasing distance from the injection wells, with a 500-year sequestration time; (f) Variation in the content of kaolinite with increasing distance from the injection wells, with a 1000-year sequestration time.
With the growth of storage time, the CO2 storage pattern under subsurface conditions will change. Taking the Fuyu oil reservoir in the Qian'an area of the southern Songliao Basin as an example, the evolution of CO2 sequestration mode in 10 000 years was systematically simulated with the adoption of ToughReact numerical simulation software. The numerical simulation results show that from 10 to 10 000 years, the CO2 sequestration mode gradually changes from mainly tectonic residual storage (83%) to both tectonic residual storage and mineral storage, with 38% and 37% respectively, and 25% of dissolved storage in formation water (Fig. 7). The evolution of the sequestration mode is the result of the integrated geological and engineering evolution in the time frame. Overall, CO2 sequestration is a complex project, so it is necessary to fully investigate the geological structure, rock composition, pore structure, formation water distribution, and temperature and pressure field characteristics of the sequestration site before implementation, and carefully evaluate the factors such as economic benefits and operational costs. The factors affecting CO2 storage include seal, reservoir dip, reservoir heterogeneity, porosity, permeability, formation temperature and pressure, formation water salinity and mineralogy. The factors that affect the amount of CO2 injection are mainly fracture pressure, reservoir thickness, maximum injection rate, geothermal gradient, burial depth, permeability, pressure gradient and porosity [41,50 -51]. With the development of technology, waste treatment based on CO2 mineralization has become an important option for carbon sequestration, among which CO2 blended with concrete becomes a very promising way for large-scale CO2 sequestration. High-performance recycled aggregates are produced from CO2 and waste concrete, and the carbon hydroxide and hydrated calcium silicate gels on the surface of the aggregates interact with CO2 to form calcium carbonate and silica gel, which improve the performance of the aggregates [52].
Fig. 7. Comparison of 10-year and 10000-year CO2 sequestration modes in the Songliao Basin.

4.2. Sequestration potential of saline aquifers

The current methods for evaluating the CO2 sequestration potential of saline aquifer include volumetric method, capacity coefficient method, and rapid intuitive dynamic method [53-55]. According to the assessment results of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the cumulative storage capacity of 36 basins in the U.S. is approximately 3×1012 t CO2. The Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute (GCCSI) suggests that the U.S. has a sequestration potential of (2-21)×1012 t CO2 [56]. The North American Carbon Sequestration Atlas (NACSA) shows that the sequestration potential of oil and gas bearing basins in the US and Canada are 1200×108 t CO2 and 160×108 t CO2 respectively, and the sequestration potential of saline aquifers are (1.610-20.155)×1012 t CO2 and (0.028-0.296)×1012 t CO2 respectively. The sequestration potential of saline aquifers in Mexico is over 0.1×1012 t CO2 [54]. The European Union's Geo Capacity project assessment results show that the sequestration potential of European hydrocarbon-bearing basins is 300×108 t CO2 and the sequestration potential of deep saline aquifers is 3250×108 t CO2 [7]. The geological sequestration potential in Japan is about 1400×108 t CO2, which is mainly distributed in the large sedimentary basins around the Japanese islands, including the Tokyo Bay Basin, the Osaka Bay Basin, northern Kyushu region and the Ise Bay Basin [7]. The sequestration potential of the deep saline aquifers in Korea is about 9.4×108 t CO2, including 9.0×108 t CO2 in the Bukpyeong Basin and 0.4×108 t CO2 in the Pohang Basin; the oil and gas-bearing basins in Korea are mainly oil reservoirs, including sequestration potential of 30×108 t CO2 in the Oryong Basin, 235×108 t CO2 in the Jeju Basin, and 3×108 t CO2 in the Gunsan Basin [7]. The total sequestration potential in Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines and Vietnam is about 540×108 t CO2 [56-57].
The storage capacity of the deep saline aquifer in China is about 2.42×1012 t CO2, mainly concentrated in the Songliao Basin, Bohai the Bay Basin, the Sichuan Basin, the Ordos Basin and the Junggar Basin [58]. Among them, the Songliao Basin (6950×108 t CO2), Tarim Basin (5530×108 t CO2) and Bohai Bay Basin (4910×108 t CO2) are the three largest onshore saline aquifer storage areas, accounting for half of the total storage volume. Besides, the deep saline aquifers in the Subei Basin (4360×108 t CO2) and Ordos Basin (3360×108 t CO2) also have a large CO2 sequestration potential [59].

4.3. Sequestration potential of depleted oil and gas reservoirs

Due to the problems of high energy consumption and cost of single CO2 storage projects, and uncertainty of long-term storage safety and reliability, the research on the integration of CO2-EOR and storage has become an important direction for CO2 storage in oil and gas industry [37,60]. At present, there are more than 140 CO2-EOR projects all over the world, 121 of which are in the U.S. The large-scale industrial application of CO2-EOR technology is mainly in the U.S., with annual oil production maintained at about 0.15×108 t, improved recovery rate of 7% to 22%, and oil production cost per barrel of 18–28, and it has become the greatest enhanced recovery technology in the U.S. In recent years, the U.S. has been actively developing a new generation of CO2-EOR technologies with the goal of increasing recovery factor by 25%, such as nanoparticle steady-state CO2 foam based swept volume enlarging technology, silicate polymer gel research to increase CO2-EOR flow control, CO2-EOR and storage planning software research, CO2-EOR flow control and geomechanical simulator research, and small molecule-conjugated CO2 thickener for improving flow control. In terms of the number of CCS projects and the amount of storage carried out worldwide, CO2 capture, enhanced oil recovery and storage (CCS-EOR) is the main approach and direction (Table 1).
Table 1. Summary of large CO2 sequestration projects implemented all over the world
No. Project location Country Implementation time (year) CO2 source CO2 sequestration/
(103 t·a−1 )
Type
1 Val Verde United States 1972 Natural gas processing 1.3 CO2-EOR
2 Enid United States 1982 Fertilizer production 0.7 CO2-EOR
3 Shute Greek United States 1980 Natural gas processing 7.0 CO2-EOR
4 Sleipner Norway 1996 Natural gas processing 0.9 Saline aquifer
sequestration
5 Weyburn Canada 2000 Syngas plant 3.0 CO2-EOR
6 In Salah Algeria 2004 Natural gas processing 1.0 Saline aquifer
sequestration
7 PetroChina, Jilin Oilfield China 2005 Underground 400.0 CO2-EOR
8 Snehvit Norway 2008 Natural gas processing 0.7 Saline aquifer
sequestration
9 Beijing Thermal Power Plant, China Huaneng, China 2008 Power plant 3.0 Recycling
10 Century United States 2010 Natural gas processing 8.4 CO2-EOR
11 Shenhua Ordos China 2010 Natural gas processing 6.0 Saline aquifer
sequestration
12 Air Products United States 2013 Hydrogen production 1.0 CO2-EOR
13 Coffeyville United States 2013 Fertilizer production 1.0 CO2-EOR
14 Lost Cabin United States 2013 Natural gas processing 0.9 CO2-EOR
15 Petrobras Lula Brazil 2013 Natural gas processing 0.7 CO2-EOR
16 Boundary Dam Canada 2014 Natural gas processing 1.0 CO2-EOR
17 PetroChina, Daqing Oilfield China 2014 Power plant 300.0 CO2-EOR
18 Quest Canada 2015 Hydrogen production 1.0 Saline aquifer
sequestration
19 Uthmaniyah Saudi Arabia 2015 Natural gas processing 0.8 CO2-EOR
20 Abu Dhabi UAE 2016 Steel production 0.8 CO2-EOR
21 Illinois United States 2017 Chemical plant 1.0 Saline aquifer
sequestration
22 Kemper United States 2016 Power plant 3.0 CO2-EOR
23 Pertra Nova United States 2016 Power plant 1.4 CO2-EOR
24 Albert Carbon Trunk Line Canada 2017 Fertilizer production 0.3-0.6 CO2-EOR
25 Albert Carbon Trunk Line Canada 2017 Oil refinery 1.2-1.4 CO2-EOR
26 Gorgon Australia 2017 Natural gas processing 3.4-4.0 Saline aquifer
sequestration
China has explored CO2-EOR technology in the Daqing Oilfield since 1960s, and has carried out scientific and technological researches such as national “973”, “863” and national major projects, and has built demonstration areas of CO2-EOR and storage in the Jilin and Changqing Oilfield. By 2020, China has conducted 21 CCUS tests with a total storage capacity of about 130×104 t CO2 [7]. The CCUS tests include projects in Jilin, Daqing, Changqing and Xinjiang experimental areas, among which the on-site CCUS in Jilin Oilfield has been continuously monitored for 14 years, verifying the storage safety of the oil reservoir (Table 1). In terms of the storage capacity of depleted oil reservoir, about 51×108 t CO2 can be stored by CO2 enhanced oil recovery technology (CO2-EOR) in the Songliao Basin, Bohai Bay Basin, Ordos Basin and Junggar Basin. In terms of the storage capacity of depleted gas reservoirs, about 153×108 t CO2 can be stored using depleted gas reservoirs in the Ordos Basin, Sichuan Basin, Bohai Bay Basin and Tarim Basin, and about 90×108 t CO2 can be stored using CO2 enhanced gas recovery technology (CO2-EGR).

4.4. Terrestrial carbon sink

Terrestrial carbon sink is the capacity of the land to absorb and store carbon from the atmosphere, and terrestrial carbon pools lie in the terrestrial lithosphere, biosphere and pedosphere, etc. [61]. The lithosphere is the largest carbon pool on the earth, it is estimated that the total carbon stock of the whole lithosphere is about 9×1016 t CO2, including organic carbon stock about 2×1016 t CO2, of which the carbon stock in fossil fuels is about (5-10)×1012 t CO2 [62-63], while the earth has a total of about 10×1016 t CO2 [64]. The carbon stock of the biosphere is about 0.686×1012 t CO2, including 662×108 t CO2 in forests and 240×108 t CO2 in grasslands [65]. The total carbon stock of pedosphere is (1.4-1.5)×1012 t CO2 [66-69].
Overall, carbon emissions-sinks of source-sink system of the global carbon cycle system during 1850-2018 are largely balanced (Fig. 8), indicating that global ecosystems are playing an active role as carbon sinks. The cumulative terrestrial carbon sinks from 1900 to 2005 are (35.1-213.1)×108 t CO2 in the United States, (57.8-129.3) ×108 t CO2 in Russia and (35.3-125.8) ×108 t CO2 in Canada. Overall, terrestrial carbon emissions in the United States, Europe, Canada, and Russia from 1900 to 1949 are offset (or nearly offset) by terrestrial carbon sequestration from 1950 to 1989, respectively, leaving terrestrial ecosystems in a net state of sequestration after 1990. By analyzing the organic carbon stock of Chinese cultivated soils in the past 20 years [70], the average annual carbon sink of Chinese cultivated soils was estimated to be (0.41-0.71)×108 t CO2. The National Greenhouse Gas Inventory of China shows that the greenhouse gas emissions grew very fast from 1994 to 2014, and the emissions in 2014 were 3.3 times those in 2004. Meanwhile, the carbon sink of land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) also grew faster, from 4.07×108 t CO2 in 1994 to 11.25×108 t CO2 in 2014, an increase of 1.76 times. The carbon sink of LULUCF accounted for 10.94% of carbon emissions in 2014. In terms of carbon budget, China's terrestrial ecosystem is playing a role of carbon sink.
Fig. 8. Carbon emission-absorption distribution of the source-sink system of global carbon cycle system (modified from Ref. [7]).

4.5. Ocean carbon sink

Ocean carbon sink is the total amount of CO2 from the atmosphere that the ocean absorbs and fixes in various ways. 93% (38.4×1012 t) of the earth's CO2 is stored in the ocean. Therefore, the use of ocean “carbon sinks” and the development of ocean low-carbon technologies are of great significance to achieve China's “dual carbon” goal. In 2018, Shenzhen Dapeng New Area took the lead in conducting a study on ocean carbon sink accounting covering the sea area under its jurisdiction, and compiled China's first "Ocean Carbon Sink Accounting Guide", signaling that China will start to develop ocean carbon sinks vigorously [7].

4.5.1. Carbon sequestration mechanism

There are two main types of ocean carbon sequestration mechanisms, namely physical carbon sequestration influenced by CO2 partial pressure and biological carbon sequestration involving marine plants and animals, which can be further divided into ocean physical carbon sequestration, deep-sea carbon storage and sequestration and ocean biological carbon sequestration. Ocean physical carbon sequestration is the diffusion and transfer of CO2-carbonate system in seawater to the deep sea through the action of marine physical pump, which eventually turns into calcium carbonate and is deposited on the seafloor to form calcareous soft mud, thus playing a role in carbon sequestration. Deep-sea carbon storage and sequestration is a method of forming stable CO2 hydrates in the deep ocean, which can remain stable even when subjected to the highest intensity earthquakes or other geological upheavals, and can ensure “safe without escape” for thousands of years. It is expected that liquid CO2 sequestered on the deep ocean floor will be stable for more than 2000 years, making it the most desirable storage method for the future. Marine biological carbon sequestration is mainly carried out by algae, coral reefs and shellfish, which fixes CO2 through photosynthesis and converts inorganic carbon into organic carbon. From the perspectives of the distribution range, carbon sequestration efficiency and ecological environment, coral reefs play a great role in carbon sequestration and may become the best way to permanently sequester carbon.

4.5.2. Carbon sequestration in marine ecosystems

The amount of carbon stored in the ocean is about 50 times that in the atmosphere, and taking the millennium as a time unit, the ocean plays a decisive role in regulating the CO2 content in atmosphere. Carbon is mainly stored in abyssal ooze, wetlands and other environments. Among them, about 1.2×1016 t CO2 exists in the form of organic sediments in the abyssal ooze developed on the ocean floor of vast deep oceans. The global coastal wetlands cover the area about 20.3×104 km2 and the carbon sequestration is about 4.5×108 t CO2/a. Meanwhile, abundant sulfate in coastal wetlands hinders the production of CH4 and thus reduces the emission of CH4. High carbon accumulation rate and low CH4 emissions make the suppression of coastal wetlands to atmospheric greenhouse effect more obvious.
The ocean is the largest carbon pool after the geological carbon pool, and is also the most active part of the atmospheric carbon cycle. The carbon sequestration capacity of the ocean is about 38.4×1012 t CO2, and the annual increased storage capacity is (5-6)×108 t CO2. Carbon exists in the ocean mainly in three forms: particulate organic carbon, dissolved organic carbon and dissolved inorganic carbon. The ability of different seas to absorb or release CO2 varies. The equatorial Pacific Ocean is the largest ocean “carbon source area”, while the North Atlantic Ocean and the North Pacific Ocean are the most important “carbon sink area” for atmospheric CO2 and the Southern Ocean is another important CO2 sink area. The reason is that the lower the temperature of surface seawater, the stronger its ability to absorb CO2. In the North Atlantic, North Pacific and Southern Ocean regions, there is cold surface water deposition, and the biological productivity is high. The Southern Ocean accounts for only 6% of the global ocean area, but absorbs 40% of the total CO2 absorption in the ocean.
The Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, East China Sea and South China Sea cover an area of about 4.73×106 km2, and the regional carbon cycle of their marine ecosystems occupies an important position in the global carbon cycle process. On the scale of year, the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, East China Sea and South China Sea are all "carbon sinks". The research results better recognized in the marine science and technology community suggest that the Bohai Sea can absorb about 284×104 t CO2 from the atmosphere each year, the Yellow Sea about 900×104 t CO2 each year, and the East China Sea about 0.3×108 t CO2. The South China Sea, because of its huge area and its location in tropical waters, has no credible survey results so far [71].

5. Carbon finance

5.1. Carbon evaluation

As an important element of the carbon industry system, the maturity of carbon market and carbon finance is of great significance to promote the rapid development of carbon industry. The tracking and accounting of carbon footprint and the assessment of carbon asset value have become the necessary inherent demand of carbon trading market and the objective need of ecological civilization construction. Carbon footprint is a measurement indicator of greenhouse gas emissions, and carbon asset is a new type of important asset in the low carbon economy.

5.1.1. Carbon trace

Carbon footprint refers to the total amount of greenhouse gases converted into carbon equivalents emitted during human production and consumption activities. It analyzes the carbon emission in the life cycle of the product or that directly and indirectly associated with the activities from the perspective of the whole product life cycle, and assesses the environmental impact of human activities by measuring the CO2 equivalents from life cycle carbon consumption [72]. Carbon footprint accounting measures the total CO2 and CH4 emissions of a given population, system or activity mainly through all relevant sources, sinks and stocks within the spatial and temporal boundaries of the population, system or activity, and calculates CO2 equivalents using 100-year global warming potential values [73].
Accounting and certification standards for carbon footprint have been the hottest topic in the field of carbon evaluation in the past 15 years. PAS 2050 specification and ISO/TS 14067 are two widely adopted standards for carbon footprint accounting and certification [74-75]. The PAS 2050 specification [74], completed by the UK government in collaboration with the UK Carbon Trust and the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, was officially published in 2008 and revised in 2011. The international standard ISO/TS 14067 [75] was developed by 107 experts from more than 30 countries and was officially released in May 2013. The successive release of the two standards provides a unified specification for companies to assess the carbon emissions of their products, and both standards are effective tools to promote the evaluation of green goods or services.

5.1.2. Carbon asset

A carbon asset is a tangible and intangible asset embodied or latent in an object with value attributes that may be applicable to storage, circulation or wealth transformation in the low carbon economy [76]. The value assessment theory is based on the capital budget theory, proposed for the study of value and capital theory. Carbon asset valuation may be based on general economics and the main evaluation methods include market approach, income approach, cost approach and real option approach [77-78].

5.2. Carbon trading

Carbon trading is the trading of greenhouse gas emission rights (emission reductions) established using market mechanisms to promote global carbon emission reduction. Specifically, one party with a purchase contract pays the other party to obtain a set amount of greenhouse gas emission rights. Carbon trading market regulation refers to the supervision and management of the initial allocation, exercise and trading of carbon emission rights through legal, economic and administrative means [7]. China's carbon emission trading market was officially launched on July 16, 2021, marking the curtain of carbon emission trading of national nature in China is opened. China uses market mechanisms to regulate greenhouse gas emissions and actively promotes green and low-carbon development, effectively contributing to the achievement of the “dual carbon” goal.
The subjects of carbon trading market include emission control enterprises, financial institutions, individual investors, trading institutions, registration authorities, third-party institutions, technical support institutions and governments. Carbon market trading products include carbon emission rights (carbon emission allowances) and emission reduction credits, etc. Carbon emission rights are issued by the government based on the total carbon emission target and represent the right to use the carbon emission space; emission reduction credit refers to the spontaneous emission reduction behavior of enterprises/residents, whose emission amount is calculated according to the standard methodology and recognized by the competent authorities [7]. The overall workflow of carbon trading is divided into six major steps: enterprise registration, allowance issuance, allowance trading, emission verification, enterprise compliance and cancellation. Fig. 9 shows the landmark events in the development of the global carbon trading market. The statistical report of the International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) shows that 38 national jurisdictions and 24 states, cities or regions are operating carbon trading markets globally [7]. Jurisdictions account for 54% of global GDP; the 24 carbon trading systems in operation cover 16% of global GHG emissions [79].
Fig. 9. Milestone events in the development of global carbon market.

6. Challenges and outlook

6.1. Main Challenges

6.1.1. China's CO2 emissions are large, and it is difficult to build the carbon industry

Compared with developed economies such as Europe and the United States, China's national conditions and economic structure are unique, and the efforts to establish a carbon industry system and achieve carbon neutrality goals will be far more than those of European and America economies. Some European and American countries have already achieved absolute decoupling of economic development and carbon emissions, and their overall carbon emissions have entered a stable decline. In contrast, China's total GDP has ranks the second in the world, but its GDP per capita has just exceeded $12 600, the problem of unbalanced and insufficient development is still relatively prominent, the energy demand for development is increasing, carbon emissions have not yet reached the peak, and total emissions are large. In 2021, China's CO2 emission was 105×108 t, ranking the first in the world and accounting for about 31% of the global total. The amount of carbon emission reduction required to achieve carbon neutrality and build a carbon industry in China is much higher than that in other economies, which is extremely difficult.

6.1.2. The energy consumption structure of China has a high carbon share, and the development of carbon industry faces great challenge and difficulty

Coal dominates the energy structure of China. In 2021, coal consumption accounts for 54.7% of total energy consumption, non-fossil energy accounts for 17.3%, and thermal power accounts for 72% of power generation in China. These are fundamentally different from the global “oil and gas-dominated” energy structure. According to the commitment to reach carbon neutrality by 2060, China's carbon reduction time is short and its realization is more difficult. Developed European countries such as the UK, France and Germany achieved carbon peak as early as 1990 before the opening of international climate negotiations, and the US, Canada, Spain and Italy achieved carbon peak around 2007. In these countries, the window period from carbon peaking to carbon neutrality by 2050 is as short as more than 40 years, as long as 60-70 years and even longer. In China, however, the time span from carbon peaking by 2030 to carbon neutrality by 2060 is only 30 years, so the task of reducing emissions is enormous. The challenge for the energy system to quickly eliminate 84% of the impact of fossil energy and achieve zero carbon emissions is extremely difficult.

6.1.3. The innovation system leading and supporting the establishment of the carbon industry is weak and a complete industrial pattern has not been established

Similar to the oil and gas industry, the carbon industry is a complete industrial system, which not only involves the whole life cycle of carbon in the earth system, covering theoretical and technological research and development of carbon generation, carbon capture, carbon utilization and carbon sequestration, but also includes carbon finance, carbon trading and carbon market. As an independent industrial system, independent benefits and scale development trend are important foundation for the healthy and sustainable development of carbon industry. In the current situation, influenced by global climate change, the progress of global carbon industry theoretical and technological research and development is mostly concentrated on CCUS/CCS [7,80 -81], and most of the projects can survive with the support of policy dividends, such as government grants or support from public welfare institutions. For example, the Weyburn-Midale CO2 monitoring and storage project in the Williston Basin of Canada is supported by the International Energy Agency. C Simplistic CS projects are unsustainable due to policy changes, economic benefits, and uncertainty about long-term storage safety and reliability, and some planned projects have been forced to terminate. High investment and cost are the bottlenecks that hinder the large-scale commercialization of CCS industry. At present, the carbon industry system still faces major challenges in project scale, technology research and development, and policy incentives, and the carbon financial market still needs further development and improvement.

6.2. Solutions

6.2.1 Steadfastly carry out the construction of carbon industry system to ensure the timely achievement of carbon neutrality by 2060

The establishment and development of carbon industry is the key to achieving carbon neutrality, an important guarantee to protect the earth's ecosystem and maintain the green and healthy development of human beings, and a necessary path to the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and the construction of the community with a shared future for mankind. To carry out the construction of carbon industry system, we must consider the carbon generation, evolution and extinction system in the earth system, and focus on the construction of carbon capture, carbon utilization, carbon sequestration and carbon trading system, especially the construction of carbon trading market. The next step should be to strengthen research in three aspects: (1) Establish a scientific and reasonable global carbon emission rights allocation, trading, regulation and standard system to realize a reasonable distribution of carbon emission rights between developed and developing countries globally. (2) Establish a global carbon database to realize real-time access to and update of carbon data at national, oceanic and continental levels, so as to provide a scientific basis for the global carbon industry system. (3) Strengthen top-level design, establish a national development line for carbon industry system, and clarify the relationship between carbon industry and energy, construction, finance and other industries.

6.2.2. Vigorously develop new energy and promote a revolutionary shift in China's energy production and consumption structure

In order to establish and develop a carbon industry system, it is necessary to fundamentally change the pattern of energy production and consumption in China. In 2021, China's energy consumption pattern is dominated by fossil energy, showing the characteristics of "one major and three minors", with coal accounting for 54.7% of the disposable energy consumption structure, and oil, natural gas and new energy accounting for 19.4%, 8.6% and 17.3%, respectively [14] (Fig. 2). It is expected that by 2060, China's energy consumption pattern will change to "three minors and one major" with new energy as the main source. That is, coal, oil and natural gas will account for 5.0%, 5.6% and 9.4% of the disposable energy consumption structure, respectively, while new energy will dominate, accounting for 80% of the total (Fig. 2). Therefore, it is necessary to enhance the support for new energy, and help speed up the arrival of the new energy era by performing technological innovation, increasing the investment and continuously optimizing the industrial layout.

6.2.3. Accelerate the establishment of an industry-wide science and technology innovation system of carbon industry

Science and technology innovation is the key to win the future, which can provide favorable support to build a new development pattern and promote high-quality development. In order to accelerate the development of carbon industry, the science and technology innovation system should focus on strengthening three aspects: First, strengthen the top-level design, formulate national development plans, and reasonably optimize the industrial layout. Focus on the national strategy of "carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060", carry out the strategic design of carbon industry development planning at the national level based on China's actual national conditions, reasonably lay out the industrial system related to carbon, and establish the whole industrial chain of carbon generation, capture, transportation, utilization, storage and trading. Second, increase investment in science and technology, and formulate applicable support policies to promote theoretical and technological innovation. Systematically sort out the key scientific issues and production bottlenecks that restrict the healthy development of the carbon industry system, set up national, provincial, ministerial and company-level major science and technology projects, and focus on key research efforts; establish a theoretical and technological system for the carbon industry to help the rapid development of the industry. Thirdly, strengthen the construction of the discipline of “carbon neutrality science”, build a standard system and cultivate professional talents in carbon industry. Build disciplines on carbon industry, develop and improve discipline theoretical system; Focusing on the core links of the carbon industry, actively research and formulate international and national standards, and promote China to become the setter, promoter and leader of carbon industry standardization; Set up carbon industry related courses in scientific research institutes and colleges and universities to cultivate professional talents and ensure the talent base of the carbon industry system.

6.3. Outlook

The carbon industry system is a globally recognized sunrise industry and a product of the high development of human society. It not only involves the traditional energy industry, construction industry and financial industry, but also has an important impact on environmental protection and the green development of the earth. Like other environmental protection actions, the carbon industry system with carbon neutrality as its core is a realistic action for human beings to protect our common home. Carbon industry is a decarbonized energy revolution, ecological technology revolution and green industrial revolution for all human beings, which will bring new changes to human society and economy.
(1) From the perspective of the energy revolution, the carbon industry will accelerate the transformation of the world energy system to low-carbon and carbon-free. The world energy consumption structure will change from the “four equal shared” pattern of coal, oil, natural gas and new energy to the “one major, three minors” pattern with new energy as the main source. In China, for example, in 2021, the proportion of carbon-based energy consumption was 80% with coal, oil and natural gas as the main sources, and the proportion of zero-carbon energy consumption was 15.9% with new energy as the main sources; it is expected that by 2060, the proportion of zero-carbon energy consumption will increase to 80% with the revolutionary conversion of zero-carbon energy and carbon-based energy. On this basis, China's carbon emissions will be reduced from the current level of about 105×108 t to about 20×108 t, achieving a double reduction of total carbon emission reduction of 85×108 t and carbon emission reduction ratio of 80%. Therefore, under the carbon industry system, new energy has risen from a new resource to a new strategy and a new mission, playing an important role in promoting the construction of an energy power and achieving global carbon neutrality.
(2) From the perspective of ecological scientific and technological revolution, the scientific and technological revolution is the driving force for the development and progress of human society, and the impelling force for industrial and energy revolutions, and scientific innovation and technological progress is the key to achieving the goal of carbon neutrality. The world is in the period of the forth industrial revolution and the sixth scientific and technological revolution, which is an information-controlled scientific and technological revolution with atomic energy technology, intelligent technology, space technology and bioengineering technology as the main symbols, involving many technical fields such as new energy, new materials, information, space, ocean and biology. The integration of the carbon neutral goal with the new round of science and technology revolution will guide the scientific and technological revolution to the direction of ecological development. The new scientific and technological revolution and the industrial revolution will drive the third world energy transformation. In particular, under the goal of carbon neutrality, the low-carbon and ecological characteristics of the new scientific and technological revolution will become more prominent. The new energy utilization technology represented by renewable energy will become the leading force, and green, ecological and sustainable development will be the important theme of the new science and technology revolution.
(3) From the perspective of green industrial revolution, the advanced information technology represented by big data and artificial intelligence has set off the fourth industrial revolution. The carbon industrial revolution will change the traditional high-carbon and coarse development model, and accelerate the construction of a low-carbon, environmentally friendly and efficient green development model. The scientific and technological revolution triggered by carbon industry will lead to significant changes in social and economic development and guarantee the successful achievement of carbon neutrality goal. In the process of human industrialization, it will give birth to new industries such as carbon industry with CCUS as the core and hydrogen industry with green hydrogen as the core.
The development of carbon industry system and the construction of carbon neutrality society is a feat for human beings to save the earth and human civilization, which requires every person, every enterprise and every country to agree and develop the idea of carbon neutrality society, establish carbon neutrality social order and make up for previous damages to the earth. The carbon industry is the basic condition to ensure fresh air, pleasant temperature, vigorous vitality, and clean environment on the earth. When the whole human society is included in the carbon neutrality system, human beings will regain and enjoy the green and livable earth continuously.

7. Conclusions

The CO2 in the earth system is divided into black carbon, gray carbon and blue carbon, and the three “carbons” are transformed into each other in the earth system, and reducing the proportion of black carbon and increasing the proportion of gray carbon, especially that of blue carbon, is the key to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.
The concept of carbon industry system is proposed, which is an inevitable trend and choice for the green development of human beings. The construction of a low-cost, energy-efficient carbon industry system based on CCUS/CCS is a major emerging industry in the world, and a strategic measure to achieve the goal of clean energy use and carbon neutrality. The connotation of carbon industry system is clearly defined in four aspects.
The establishment of the carbon industry system will help revolutionize the supply pattern of fossil and non-fossil energy in China, and achieve the four “80%” transformation from 2021 to 2060. In the carbon industry system, new energy with zero-carbon energy as the core will rise from a new resource to a new mission and a new strategic significance.
There are major challenges during the development of the carbon industry system, and three strategic measures are proposed to build a carbon industry system, vigorously develop new energy and accelerate the establishment of an industry-wide CO2 industrial science and technology innovation system. In the context of global carbon neutrality, the development of carbon industry system and China’s commitment to carbon peaking before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060, are of great significance to the sustainable development of the Chinese nation and the construction of the community with a shared future for mankind. The development of carbon industry will significantly enhance human happiness and make an important contribution to building a human ecological civilization and a livable planet.
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