Introduction
1. Survey of global oil and gas exploration
1.1. Changes in global oil and gas exploration investment
Table 1. Statistics of global oil and gas exploration investment in recent 5 years [9] |
| Regions | Annual investment/108 USD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Africa | 25.9 | 20.6 | 20.9 | 16.2 | 12.8 |
| Americas | 240.7 | 250.7 | 212.2 | 142.7 | 141.0 |
| Europe | 50.2 | 45.3 | 49.9 | 20.3 | 21.4 |
| Asia Pacific | 102.2 | 107.1 | 130.9 | 107.0 | 131.1 |
| Middle East | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Central Asia- Russia | 17.5 | 9.4 | 22.3 | 25.2 | 6.2 |
| Total | 438.1 | 433.7 | 438.2 | 312.5 | 312.8 |
1.2. Changes in global drilling workload
Table 2. Statistics of exploration workload of each regions in 2021 [9] |
| Regions | 2D Seismic/ 104 km | 3D seismic/ 104 km2 | Wildcats | Outpost | Major basins | Wildcats of major basins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 1.04 | 3.35 | 88 | 35 | Abu Gharadiq | 11 |
| Eastern Niger | 11 | |||||
| Cyrenaica | 10 | |||||
| Northern Egypt | 10 | |||||
| Americas | 0.98 | 4.63 | 139 | 58 | Sureste | 26 |
| Deepwater Gulf of Mexico | 21 | |||||
| Guyana | 11 | |||||
| Europe | 0.92 | 3.86 | 96 | 134 | North Sea | 30 |
| Dnieper-Donets | 13 | |||||
| Pannonian | 9 | |||||
| Asia Pacific | 1.94 | 3.91 | 158 | 158 | Indus | 22 |
| Bohai Gulf | 18 | |||||
| Eromanga | 17 | |||||
| Middle East | 0.62 | 0.54 | 87 | 47 | Oman | 60 |
| Zagros | 12 | |||||
| Central Arabian | 5 | |||||
| Rub’ Al Khali | 5 | |||||
| Central Asia- Russia | 0.13 | 1.24 | 76 | 159 | West Siberian | 33 |
| Amu-Darya | 16 | |||||
| Volga-Urals | 12 | |||||
| Total | 5.64 | 17.54 | 644 | 591 | 352 |
Table 3. Success rate of wildcats drilling in 2021 [9] |
| Regions | Onshore wells | Offshore Wells | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil wells | Gas wells | Other wells | Total wells | Success rate/% | Oil wells | Gas wells | Other wells | Total wells | Success rate/% | |
| Africa | 21 | 49 | 70 | 30.0 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 55.6 | |
| America | 22 | 20 | 37 | 79 | 53.2 | 25 | 3 | 32 | 60 | 46.7 |
| Europe | 4 | 19 | 23 | 46 | 50.0 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 70.0 |
| Asia Pacific | 13 | 24 | 37 | 74 | 50.0 | 20 | 13 | 51 | 84 | 39.3 |
| Middle East | 13 | 3 | 65 | 81 | 19.8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16.7 | |
| Central Asia- Russia | 29 | 22 | 22 | 73 | 69.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 66.7 |
| Total | 102 | 88 | 233 | 423 | 44.9 | 75 | 34 | 112 | 221 | 49.3 |
Note: Other wells include dry, shows and result unreported wells. |
1.3. Survey of global new discoveries in oil and gas explorations
Fig. 1. Distribution of newly discovered oil and gas fields around the world (excluding North America onshore) in 2021. |
| Regions | Major basins | System | Conventional oil and gas | Unconventional oil and gas | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoverable reserves (oil equivalent)/ 108 t | Number | Reserve proportion/% | Recoverable reserves (oil equivalent)/ 104 t | Number | |||
| Americas | Guyana, Campos, Santos, Gulf of Mexico Deepwater | Cretaceous, Paleogene and Neogene | 11.42 | 52 | 54.9 | 8 | 2 |
| Central Asia - Russia | Yenisey-Khatanga, South Caspian, Amu Darya | Cretaceous, Neogene and Jurassic | 4.11 | 39 | 19.8 | 14 | 1 |
| Asia Pacific | Brunei-Sabah, Perth, Zengmu | Neogene, Permian and Paleogene | 1.68 | 57 | 8.1 | 1 761 | 10 |
| Middle East | Black Sea, Central Arabian, Rub’ Al Khali | Neogene, Jurassic and Permian | 1.65 | 15 | 7.9 | 806 | 3 |
| Africa | Cote d'Ivoire, Lower Congo, Cyrenaica | Cretaceous, Neogene and Jurassic | 1.12 | 22 | 5.4 | ||
| Europe | North Sea, Voring, Barents Sea | Jurassic, Paleogene and Cretaceous | 0.81 | 29 | 3.9 | ||
2. Characteristics of new discoveries in global oil and gas exploration
2.1. The reserves of conventional oil and gas discoveries remained at a high level, and the proportion of natural gas discoveries in large- and medium-sized oil and gas fields increased significantly
Table 5. Newly discovered deepwater/ultra-deepwater large and medium sized oil and gas fields in 2021 [9] |
| Regions | Country | Basin | Field name | Main reservoir strata | Lithology of main reservoir | Area | Size | Maximum water depth | Recoverable reserves | Proportion in total reserves of deep water to ultra-deepwater in large and medium-sized oil and gas fields/% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil/ 104 t | Gas/ 108 m3 | Total (oil equivalent)/ 104 t | ||||||||||
| Africa | Côte d'Ivoire | Cote d'Ivoire | Baleine | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Large | 1 200 | 5 822 | 175 | 7 219 | 6.6 |
| Ghana | Eban | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 545 | 1 370 | 29 | 1 598 | 1.5 | ||
| America | Brazil | Santos | Aram | Lower Cretaceous | Carbonate rocks | Ultra- deepwater | Large | 1 905 | 14 932 | 428 | 18 356 | 16.9 |
| Campos | Mairare | Lower Cretaceous | Carbonate rocks | Ultra- deepwater | Large | 2 852 | 2 123 | 1 479 | 13 954 | 12.8 | ||
| Urissane | Lower Cretaceous | Carbonate rocks | Ultra- deepwater | Large | 2 958 | 671 | 811 | 7 162 | 6.6 | |||
| Monai | Lower Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Ultra-deep water | Medium- sized | 2 366 | 562 | 472 | 4 336 | 4.0 | |||
| Guyana | Guyana | Whiptail | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Ultra-deep water | Large | 1 795 | 8 164 | 278 | 10 390 | 9.5 | |
| Cataback | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Large | 1 807 | 7 055 | 315 | 9 575 | 8.8 | |||
| Pinktail | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 810 | 2 055 | 81 | 2 703 | 2.5 | |||
| Suriname | Guyana | Keskesi East | Upper Cretaceous | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 838 | 2 397 | 147 | 3 575 | 3.3 | |
| U.S.A | Deepwater Gulf of Mexico | Leopard | Oligocene | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Medium- sized | 2 074 | 3 425 | 171 | 4 795 | 4.4 | |
| Blacktip North | Eocene | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 368 | 1 370 | 57 | 1 826 | 1.7 | |||
| Rose | Miocene | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 315 | 1 644 | 20 | 1 804 | 1.7 | |||
| Puma West | Miocene | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 249 | 1 370 | 23 | 1 553 | 1.4 | |||
| Winterfell | Miocene | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 638 | 1 370 | 17 | 1 507 | 1.4 | |||
| Mexico | Deepwater Gulf of Mexico | Ameyali | Eocene | Clastic rock | Ultra deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 737 | 1 137 | 47 | 1 511 | 1.4 | |
| Xochicalco | Eocene | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 858 | 1 233 | 17 | 1 370 | 1.3 | |||
| Asia Pacific | China | Qiongdongnan | Baodao 21-1-1 | Oligocene | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 1 325 | 11 | 228 | 1 837 | 1.7 |
| Middle East | Türkiye | Black Sea | Sakarya North | Pliocene | Clastic rock | Ultra- deepwater | Large | 1 938 | 1 360 | 10 884 | 10.0 | |
| Central Asia- Russia | Azerbaijan | South Caspian Sea | Shafag & Asiman | Pliocene | Clastic rock | Deepwater | Medium- sized | 623 | 411 | 308 | 2 877 | 2.6 |
2.2. Large- and medium-sized oil and gas fields are mainly found in deepwater/ultra-deepwater and Cretaceous reservoirs in passive continental margin basins
Table 6. Recoverable reserves of large and medium-sized oil and gas fields of various strata in 2020 and 2021 [9-10] |
| Erathem | System | 2020 | 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoverable reserves (oil equivalent)/108 t | Percentage/% | Recoverable reserves (oil equivalent)/108 t | Percentage/% | ||
| Cenozoic | Neogene | 3.97 | 24.8 | 2.10 | 12.0 |
| Paleogene | 0.29 | 1.8 | 1.19 | 6.8 | |
| Mesozoic | Cretaceous | 9.08 | 56.8 | 13.34 | 76.0 |
| Jurassic | 2.30 | 14.4 | 0.26 | 1.5 | |
| Triassic | 0.04 | 0.3 | |||
| Paleozoic | Permian | 0.50 | 2.8 | ||
| Cambrian | 0.17 | 1.0 | |||
| Neo-proterozoic | Precambrian | 0.31 | 1.9 | ||
| Total | 15.98 | 100.0 | 17.55 | 100.0 | |
2.3. Breakthroughs have been made constantly in conventional oil and gas exploration in the onshore deep-seated oil and gas-rich basins
2.4. Discoveries in unconventional oil and gas exploration increased
Table 7. Comparison of recoverable reserves of global (excluding North America) newly discovered unconventional oil and gas fields in 2020 and 2021 [9] |
| Year | Regions | Country | Basin | Field name | Main reservoir strata | Unconventional oil and gas type | Recoverable reserves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil/ 104 t | Gas/ 108 m3 | Total (oil equivalent) | |||||||
| 2020 | Middle East | Saudi Arabia | Central Arabian | Al Reesh | Jurassic | Tight oil | 1 095.9 | 17.7 | 1 237.6 |
| Al Minahhaz | Ordovician | Tight gas Coalbed methane | 27.4 | 118.1 | 972.1 | ||||
| Al Sahbaa | 4.4 | 94.5 | 760.2 | ||||||
| Asia Pacific | Australia | Bowen-Surat | Kumbarilla Central | Jurassic | Shale gas | 0 | 141.1 | 1 129.0 | |
| Georgina | Carpentaria | Precambrian | Coalbed methane | 5.6 | 12.1 | 102.5 | |||
| Mongolia | South Gobi | Nomgon | Permian | Tight gas | 0 | 35.4 | 283.4 | ||
| China | Sichuan | Santai (Si) | Triassic | Shale oil | 0.3 | 7.1 | 57.0 | ||
| Central Asia- Russia | Russia | West Siberian | Solkhem | Cretaceous | Tight oil | 68.5 | 0.4 | 71.4 | |
| 2021 | Middle East | Saudi Arabia | Central Arabian | Samna | Ordovician | Tight gas | 6.8 | 71.3 | 577.6 |
| Widyan- Mesopotamia | Umm Khansar | 54.8 | 15.7 | 180.4 | |||||
| Oman | Rub’ Al Khali | Block 36 | Silurian | 2.7 | 5.7 | 48.4 | |||
| Asia Pacific | China | Sichuan | Taiye (Si) | Jurassic | Shale gas | 68.5 | 71.3 | 639.3 | |
| Linye (Si) 3HF | Silurian | 0.1 | 17.1 | 137.1 | |||||
| Pingan (Si) | Jurassic | Shale oil and gas | 41.1 | 4.9 | 79.9 | ||||
| South Yellow Sea | Qinye (Sh) 1HF | Paleogene | Shale oil | 41.1 | 0.1 | 42.2 | |||
| Bohai Gulf | Boye (Bo) Ping | Shale oil and gas | 123.3 | 25.7 | 328.8 | ||||
| JiangHan | Yizhi-Ye (Hubei) 2HF | Silurian | Shale gas | 0 | 2.9 | 22.8 | |||
| Australia | Bowen-Surat | Kyalla 117 | Precambrian | 54.8 | 14.3 | 168.9 | |||
| Georgina | Rougemont | Permian | Coalbed methane | 0 | 14.3 | 114.2 | |||
| Mongolia | South Gobi | Kingston | 0 | 14.3 | 114.2 | ||||
| Richcairn | 0 | 14.3 | 114.2 | ||||||
| Central Asia- Russia | Russia | West Siberian | Ikusyatinskoye Severnoye | Jurassic- Cretaceous | Shale oil | 13.7 | 0.1 | 14.4 | |
| America | Argentina | Neuquen | Pampa de las Liebres | Shale gas | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.8 | ||
| Corralera Noreste | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | ||||||
3. Development trend of exploration business of three types of oil companies
3.1. International oil companies
3.1.1. Constantly adjust the exploration business layout and focus on exploration field with core advantage
Table 8. Core fields and exploration characteristics of oil and gas upstream business of international oil companies [10, 11-14] |
| Company Name | Upstream core field types | Regions/Countries/Basins | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shell | Deep water, Integrated natural gas | USA, Brazil, Nigeria, East Africa | Exploration investment is focused on 8 core countries and regions, and 80% of exploration expenditure is used for deep water exploration on both sides of the Atlantic |
| ExxonMobil | Deep water, Gas, Tight oil | Guyana, Brazil, Mozambique, Papua New Guinea, Permian Basin | Focusing on deepwater venture exploration |
| bp | Deep water, Gas, Unconventional | Russia, USA Mexico gulf, Angola, Australia, U.K.,Norway, Argentina | Exploration core is focused on rolling exploration in current production areas |
| Chevron | Unconventional, Gas | USA Mexico Gulf, Brazil, Eastern Mediterranean, West Africa, Australia | Focusing on unconventional oil and gas exploration in North America |
| Total energies | Conventional, Gas | The United Arab Emirates, West Africa, Brazil, Norway, USA, Mozambique | Actively implement exploration in Africa |
| Eni | Conventional, Gas | Nigeria, Niger, Angola, Congo and USA Mexico Gulf | Independent exploration, "dual exploration model", focusing on low-risk and high potential areas |
| Equinor | Deep water, Unconventional | USA, Mexico gulf, Brazil, Canada and Angola | The focus of exploration will decrease from 30 countries in 2017 to 10 countries in 2021 |
3.1.2. Actively conduct exploration in deepwater, unconventional oil and gas and pay more attention to gas exploration
3.1.3. Pay attention to fine/rolling exploration under the low oil price environment, and increase the risk exploration reserves in the frontier fields
3.2. National oil companies increase the exploration of domestic resources and strengthen transnational cooperation
3.3. Independent oil companies focus on core areas and give play to regional synergy advantages
4. Global favorable exploration fields in the future
4.1. Deepwater conventional oil and gas exploration
Table 9. Offshore conventional oil and gas exploration areas and the yet-to-find recoverable resources |
| No. | Area/Basin group | Major basins | Sedimentary basin area/ 104 km2 | Favorable play | Yet-to-find recoverable resources | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil/ 108 t | Gas/ 1012 m3 | Total (oil equivalent)/ 108 t | |||||
| 1 | South section of the South Atlantic Passive continental margin basin group | Colorado | 21.5 | Jurassic-Cretaceous structure | 10.5 | 0.1 | 11.1 |
| Rio Salado etc. | 15.4 | Upper Cretaceous submarine fan | 12.6 | 0 | 12.6 | ||
| 2 | Middle section of the South Atlantic Passive continental margin basin group | Santos, Campos, Kwanza | 61.9 | Post-salt deep water gravity flow, pre-salt carbonate rock | 264.7 | 7.4 | 327.6 |
| 3 | North section of the South Atlantic Passive continental margin basin group | Foz do Amazonas, Suriname, Guyana etc. | 76.3 | Cretaceous-Miocene slope fan, basin-floor fan | 23.2 | 0.3 | 26.1 |
| 4 | Mid Atlantic Passive continental margin basin group | USA Mexico Bay, Sureste | 80.3 | Paleogene-Neogene lithologic traps and other reservoir forming associations | 100.2 | 11.1 | 195.3 |
| Senegal, USA east coast | 89.0 | Cretaceous submarine fan, etc. | 26.3 | 7.0 | 86.0 | ||
| 5 | North Atlantic Passive continental margin basin group | East coast of Greenland | 82.4 | Jurassic-Cretaceous fault block structure and structural stratigraphic traps | 18.6 | 2.3 | 38.3 |
| 6 | East Africa offshore Passive continental margin basin group | Somalia, Zambezi Delta, Tanzania Coastal, etc. | 189.7 | Cretaceous-Paleogene slope fan/ Basin-floor fan and other types | 17.2 | 9.6 | 99.5 |
| 7 | Arctic passive continental margin basin group | Kara Sea and Barents Sea | 151.0 | Jurassic-Cretaceous fault block structure | 114.0 | 29.3 | 364.0 |
| 8 | Southeast Asia back-arc basin group | Sumatra, etc. | 55.5 | Paleogene-Miocene structure/reef flat/Submarine fan and bedrock buried hill, etc. | 12.0 | 2.9 | 36.8 |
4.2. Deep formation conventional oil and gas exploration
Table 10. Onshore conventional oil and gas exploration areas and the yet-to-find recoverable resources (including deep formations) |
| No. | Area/Basin group | Sedimentary basin area/ 104 km2 | Favorable plays | Yet-to-find recoverable resources | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil/108 t | Gas/1012 m3 | Total (oil equivalent)/108 t | ||||
| 1 | Arab foreland basin | 233.7 | Paleozoic deep structural plays and Jurassic-Cretacous lithologic trap | 234.6 | 21.2 | 415.4 |
| Zagros foreland basin | 47.6 | Deep structural traps below Jurassic in thrust structural belt | 97.1 | 16.3 | 236.7 | |
| 2 | West Siberia rift basin | 231.7 | Numerous large-scale structural traps and Jurassic deep structural and stratigraphic traps in the south central part of the basin | 111.1 | 17.6 | 261.1 |
| 3 | Amu Darya foreland basin | 43.7 | Reef flat of pre-salt Upper Jurassic and deep stratigraphic traps of middle and lower Jurassic | 4.9 | 17.2 | 151.9 |
| 4 | Eastern Siberia cratonic basin | 333.4 | Carbonate rock of rift system and clastic rock of Wende system | 18.2 | 11.2 | 113.7 |
| 5 | Precaspian foreland basin | 54.2 | Permian pre-salt clastic rock, Devonian- Carboniferous deep formation | 28.5 | 2.3 | 48.4 |
| 6 | Ghadames foreland basin | 36.8 | Paleozoic low amplitude anticline structural traps and stratigraphic-lithologic traps | 10.7 | 0.2 | 12.2 |
4.3. Favorable exploration of unconventional oil and gas
Table 11. Technically recoverable resources for key shale oil (including tight oil) area |
| No. | Area/basin group | Major sedimentary basins | Sedimentary basin area/ 104 km2 | Favorable plays | Shale oil/tight oil technically recoverable resources/108 t |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North American foreland basin group | Permian, Appalachia, Williston, etc. | 109.9 | Devonian-Carboniferous System | 206 |
| Gulf Coast, Denver, Powder River, etc. | 25.5 | Cretaceous | 107 | ||
| 2 | Andean foreland basin group | Llanos-Barinas, Putumayo, Maranon, Neuquen, etc. | 50.4 | Jurassic-Cretaceous | 89 |
| 3 | North African craton basin group | Atlas fold belt, Triassic Ghadames, etc. | 65.1 | Silurian, Devonian System | 43 |
| 4 | Middle West Africa rift basin group | Bongor, South Chad, Muglad, Melut, etc. | 65.3 | Cretaceous lacustrine shale oil | 20 |
| 5 | Russia foreland/ rift basin group | West Siberia | 231.7 | Upper Jurassic Barenov Formation | 93 |
| Timan-Pechora, Volga-Urals | 115.0 | Devonian Domanik Formation | 37 | ||
| 6 | Arabian/Zagros foreland basin | Zagros, Arabia | 281.3 | Jurassic, Cretaceous marine shale oil | 52 |
| 7 | Southeast Asia back-arc basin group | North Sumatra, Central Sumatra, South Sumatra | Cenozoic lacustrine shale oil | 13 |
Table 12. Statistics of key fields and technically recoverable resources of shale gas and tight gas |
| No. | Area/basin group | Major sedimentary basins | Area of sedimentary basins/104 km2 | Favorable play | Technically recoverable resources of shale gas/ tight gas/1012 m3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North American foreland basin group | Permian, Appalachia, Williston, etc. | 109.9 | Devonian- Carboniferous System | 48 |
| Gulf Coast, Denver, Powder River, etc. | 25.5 | Cretaceous | 31 | ||
| 2 | Craton basin group in Central South America | Chakao, Cuyo, Amazon, etc. | 126.6 | Devonian- Carboniferous System | 19 |
| 3 | Andean foreland basin group | Neuquen, Magllanes, etc. | 33.2 | Jurassic-Cretaceous | 21 |
| 4 | North African craton basin group | Atlas fold belt, Triassic Ghadames, etc. | 65.1 | Silurian, Devonian System | 26 |
| 5 | Russia foreland/rift basin group | West Siberia | 231.7 | Upper Jurassic Barenov Formation | 8 |
| Timan-Pechora, Volga-Urals | 115 | Devonian Domanik Formation | 6 | ||
| 6 | Arab/Zagros foreland basin group | Zagros, Arabian etc. | 281.3 | Jurassic, Cretaceous | 16 |
| 7 | Central Australia craton basin group | Canning, MacArthur, Eromanga, etc. | 195.4 | Devonian- Carboniferous System | 12 |